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Tag: probabilities

  • Bounds and Identification of Joint Probabilities of Potential Outcomes and Observed Variables under Monotonicity Assumptions

    Bounds and Identification of Joint Probabilities of Potential Outcomes and Observed Variables under Monotonicity Assumptions arXiv:2602.18762v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in settings with discrete treatment…

  • Keeping Probabilities Honest: The Jacobian Adjustment

    Keeping Probabilities Honest: The Jacobian Adjustment An intuitive explanation of transforming random variables correctly. The post Keeping Probabilities Honest: The Jacobian Adjustment appeared first on Towards Data Science. Aniruddha Karajgi Go to original source

  • Learning Probabilities of Causation from Finite Population Data

    Learning Probabilities of Causation from Finite Population Data arXiv:2505.17133v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. This paper addresses the challenge of predicting probabilities of causation for subpopulations with textbf{insufficient} data using machine learning models. Tian and Pearl first defined and derived tight bounds for three fundamental probabilities…