Tag: probe

  • Bag of Coins: A Statistical Probe into Neural Confidence Structures

    Bag of Coins: A Statistical Probe into Neural Confidence Structures arXiv:2507.19774v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern neural networks, despite their high accuracy, often produce poorly calibrated confidence scores, limiting their reliability in high-stakes applications. Existing calibration methods typically post-process model outputs without interrogating the internal consistency of the predictions themselves. In this work, we introduce…